Predicto: from theory to forecast
Have a theory about one of the seven prediction tasks, but no time to collect cross-national data, or no experience with coding? Predicto is an AI research assistant that helps you turn your theory into a complete, reproducible forecast.
How it works
You talk with Predicto in a chat. The agent:
asks about your theory and searches the research literature,
suggests relevant public data (World Bank, Our World in Data, V-Dem, the World Values Survey and others), and you select the variables,
shows a correlation table if you ask for it,
builds a forecasting model and tests it on past data against two simple baselines,
writes a full submission package: one prediction per country, the causal model, a short written account, the data sources, and R code that reproduces the result.
Who it is for
Social scientists who want to enter the competition, including those who do not code or do not have time to collect cross-national data. Predicto makes it easier to take part, and it makes all submissions comparable and reproducible.
Status
Now: A working prototype is being tested by the research team.
Spring 2027: The competition opens for submissions.